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2021 Dub Nation HQ Draft Tournament

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2021 Dub Nation HQ Draft Tournament

We're crowdsourcing this pick to the smartest crowd in Dub Nation

Eric Apricot
Jun 28, 2021
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Share this post

2021 Dub Nation HQ Draft Tournament

dubnationhq.com

It’s time for our annual Draft Pick Tournament, where we decide whom we want for the #7 pick, in a big bracket with pairwise showdowns.

  • Last Year’s: 2020 Draft Pick Tournament

Spoilers

  • The actual 2021 Draft Night thread

The Tournament

Starts this week and should end right before the actual NBA Draft. For each showdown, people can vote on my Twitter poll or state your vote clearly in the DNHQ comments. Naturally, 1 comment vote = 10 Twitter votes.

I’ll bring the scouting reports and commentary. You bring your vote.

I’ll keep updating this page with the tournament posts.

First Round

  • #1 Davion Mitchell vs #16 Jaden Springer (71% - 29%). Davion wins, but many voters are very anxious about him.

  • #2 Franz Wagner vs #15 Isaiah Jackson (100%-0%). A perfect sweep. Amazing.

  • #3 James Bouknight vs #14 Jared Butler (69% - 31%). Mixed feelings about Bouknight too, but he pulls through. Not a great score against a player who might not even be allowed to play in the NBA.

  • #4 Keon Johnson vs #13 Chris Duarte (38% - 62%). A big upset, but not that surprising, as Duarte is a real darling of Dub Nation.

  • #5 Jalen Johnson vs #12 Usman Garuba (53% - 47%). Jalen pulls out a squeaker. I would have taken Garuba. I am a sucker for great defenders and good passers.

  • #6 Josh Giddey vs #11 Ziaire Williams. (51% - 49%) Incredibly close vote.

  • #7 Moses Moody vs #10 Corey Kispert (82% - 18%). Moses easily wins, but lots of love for Kispert at #14 as well.

  • #8 Kai Jones vs #9 Alperen Sengun. (20% - 80%). Kai deemed too raw for most voters.

Second Round

  • #1 Davion Mitchell vs #9 Alperen Sengun. (22% - 78%) On paper, a huge upset, but everyone on DNHQ could see this coming. The anti-Davion wave is real.

  • #2 Franz Wagner vs #7 Moses Moody (24%-76%). Lots of love for both candidates, but Moody comfortably wins, with some prominent vote switches.

  • #3 James Bouknight vs #6 Josh Giddey. (52% - 48%). Another close one. The comment vote was almost tied, but Twitter broke for Bouknight.

  • #13 Chris Duarte vs #5 Jalen Johnson (51% - 49%). Whew, a close one, where the HQ comment vote overrode the Twitter vote.

Semifinals

  • #9 Alperen Sengun vs #13 Chris Duarte (83% - 17%). A resounding victory over many people’s preference for the #14 pick.

  • #7 Moses Moody vs #3 James Bouknight. (81% - 19%) A close call for many voters, but in the end, they broke hard for Moody, especially in the comments.

Finals

  • #7 Moses Moody vs #9 Alperen Sengun (61% - 39%). To my amazement, Sengun wins the Twitter poll, but the DNHQ comment vote is a strong majority for Moody.

Boss Fight

  • Scottie Barnes and Jonathan Kuminga, The "What If They Fall" Showdown. People want Barnes (78%) and Kuminga (67%) over the field if available, and in the unlikely event both are available, 64% - 24% Barnes over Kuminga.

Final Wrapup

DFiB did some weighting of the votes and computed this average Non-Top-6 Big Board by DNHQ voters.

  1. Moody

  2. Sengun

  3. Wagner

  4. Bouknight

  5. Kispert

  6. Giddey

  7. Williams

  8. Mitchell

  9. Jones

  10. Duarte

  11. Johnson

  12. Garuba

  13. Butler

  14. Johnson

  15. Springer

  16. Jackson

Also, DNHQ community member void went the extra mile to write a Big Board compiler which lets us immortalize our own personal Big Boards for future humiliation, and aggregates the results.

  • void’s Unofficial Dub Nation HQ Big Boards


Appendix: Choosing the field

Who is in the Draft Pick Tournament for #7?

This year there is a consensus Top 6:

  • Cade Cunningham will go #1

  • Jalen Suggs, Jalen Green and Evan Mobley will likely be the next three in some order

  • Barnes and Kuminga should finish the Top 6.

It’s possible there will be some little surprises in order, but everyone expects those to be the Top 6. And #7 is a bit more wide open than usual. So let’s have a tournament of all the picks that the mock drafters think will go between #7 and #13. Basically, any player not listed here is very likely to be available at #14 anyway.

I looked at 15 published mock drafts by prominent media, and here were the players.

  • Alperen Sengun x 9

  • Corey Kispert x 8

  • Davion Mitchell x15

  • Franz Wagner x14

  • Isaiah Jackson x2

  • Jaden Springer x3

  • Jalen Johnson x12

  • James Bouknight x10

  • Josh Giddey x14

  • Kai Jones x4

  • Keon Johnson x14

  • Moses Moody x11

  • Scottie Barnes

  • Tre Mann

  • Usman Garuba x2

For completeness, here are the Mock Drafts choices for GSW.

#7

  • Davion Mitchell x8. Givony, ESPN. Woo, SI. Greer, Sporting News. Taylor, Yahoo! Sports. Parrish, CBS. Spinella 3.0. Chad Ford, Big Board, Boone, CBS

  • Jalen Johnson, O’Donnell, SB Nation

  • James Bouknight x4, Vecenie, TheAthletic, Kalbrosky, USA Today. NBADraft.net (6/22), Kawakami, The Athletic

  • Josh Giddey. NBA Draft Room

  • Keon Johnson. Zielonka, Field Level Media

  • Franz Wagner x 2, The Athletic Staff, Wasserman, BR

#14

  • James Bouknight. Givony, ESPN. Greer, Sporting News.

  • Josh Giddey. O’Donnell, SB Nation

  • Jalen Johnson. Woo, SI

  • Usman Garuba. Vecenie, TheAthletic

  • Cameron Thomas, Kalbrosky, USA Today

  • Davion Mitchell, NBA Draft Room

  • Isaiah Jackson. Zielonka, Field Level Media

  • Alperen Sengun. Taylor, Yahoo! Sports. Parrish, CBS.

  • Ziaire Williams. NBADraft.net (6/22)

  • Franz Wagner. Spinella 3.0

  • Corey Kispert, Kawakami, The Athletic, Wasserman, BR. Chad Ford, Big Board.

  • Chris Duarte, The Athletic Staff, Boone, CBS

The Seedings

I’ve taken Scottie Barnes and Jonathan Kuminga out of the field, and we’ll have a special runoff round between those two and whoever we select as the winner of the tournament. I added Ziaire Williams, Chris Duarte, and Jared Butler, who were good suggestions as dark horses to be picked #7, and dropped Tre Mann who was mentioned only once and then no higher than #17 in any other mock.

I believe the odds are very high that GSW’s #7 pick will come from this pool of players.

Everyone gets seeded by this score: the sum of their appearances in post-lottery mock drafts from #7 to #13, plus (times they were actually selected for the GSW #7 pick, plus number of selections for GSW in pre-lottery mock drafts) times 2.

  • #1 Davion Mitchell

  • #2 Franz Wagner

  • #3 James Bouknight

  • #4 Keon Johnson

  • #5 Jalen Johnson

  • #6 Josh Giddey

  • #7 Moses Moody

  • #8 Kai Jones

  • #9 Alperen Sengun

  • #10 Corey Kispert

  • #11 Ziaire Williams

  • #12 Usman Garuba

  • #13 Chris Duarte

  • #14 Jared Butler

  • #15 Isaiah Jackson

  • #16 Jaden Springer


Bonus Reference

  • How Good Are The Overseas Leagues of Draft Prospects LaMelo, Deni and Killian?


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2021 Dub Nation HQ Draft Tournament

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