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Dec 28, 2020Liked by punk basketball, Daniel Hardee

The biggest insight from last night's game is that Paschall will be playing quite a bit of smallball center to fill the Chriss hole. I'm thinking Wiseman will get the first 6 minutes of the first and third quarters (to pair him with Draymond as much as possible), Looney gets the last 6 minutes of the first and third quarters, and then the "bench unit" that rolls out to begin the second and fourth quarters could be:

Wanamaker

Lee/Bazemore/JTA*

Oubre

Wiggins

Paschall

Lee gives the most offense, JTA the most defense (he'd play the 4 in this lineup), and Bazemore is the compromise option. I'd lean toward Lee but it also depends on who Kerr plays with Curry because he might be playing a lot there after Oubre and Wiggins are taken out. JTA probably fits best with Curry, problem for him is Draymond fits even better and they play the same position. I think he might be more of a Draymond injury insurance type of player, but I can see him getting some minutes with this unit here and there. So far, Kerr has exclusively played Mulder with Curry, so I didn't consider him. Poole is the odd man out, his defense isn't good enough to play him at SG, so he's a Curry/Wanamaker backup to me.

Not an ideal second unit if Wiggins is your primary creator and Paschall is your defensive center, but it has a swarming Nellieball defense character to it and Paschall at center surrounded by 4 (decent) shooters is probably the way to maximize his isolation game.

And then to close the halves, they'd go with either Wiseman or Looney at center, or occasionally Draymond when it's a big game.

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Since you have to go with Lee because of clear offense limitations otherwise, I'm starting to see why Bazemore just doesn't have many minutes on this team, and why JTA probably won't either when Dray is back.

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Yeah JTA doesn't fit well with Draymond or Paschall on the floor. But getting a "Draymond insurance" player in a two-way spot is good value imo.

As far as Bazemore, I agree. He got a bit screwed by the desperate need for shooting, it vaulted Mulder above him. But that might not always be the smart play. Right now the closing unit for the first and third quarters is probably

Curry

Mulder

Lee

Draymond

Looney

Curry/Mulder is a very small backcourt though, regardless of Mulder's wingspan. Against some teams, Curry/Lee/Bazemore/Draymond/Looney might make more sense, trading off shooting for defense.

I know Kerr was talking about him being a key bench unit leader guy this season but his role might actually be with Curry and Draymond.

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I love the idea of shooting, unfortunately I don't see the dubs giving up on Wiggins or Oubre in those lineups anytime soon. They sold a plan to the big guy, so they're going to try to make it work to save face, even if they no longer believe in it.

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I'm sure there are some teams where this is a really bad idea. Paschall's lack of a shot means that a mobile big man can guard him pretty easily. But with Chriss out, the options are limited, and I think this is the best way to fit the remaining pieces together to maximize everyone's strengths.

Plus, it means Paschall and Draymond don't share the floor, which went horribly last season (although he wasn't playing center when it happened). And Paschall has shown himself to be pretty bad at finding Curry and more interested in his own offense (so far), so they don't share the floor either.

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The one thing I'd keep an eye on is if JTA forces the issue by shooting more/better. If that happens, he could conceivably share the floor with Lee and EP would be the odd man out.

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That would be a gamechanger, for sure.

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I watched the Bulls broadcast, so don’t know if it was broken down on the replay, but Lee almost completely screwed up that final play. He was off-balance almost fell inbounds before getting the ball to Looney.

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Watched that five times in a row. I don't think he would've stepped in bounds. It's more like his body's mental 5 second clock is forcing him to get going, so he knows he has to come back to Lee.

What's interesting to me is that he hits that first step in bounds going left right after the release to Looney. Satoransky moves that direction, then Lee breaks hard off that foot back to the right, takes the hand off from Looney, dribble, rise and fire. The Bulls broadcast even notes that Satoransky chose to go under. Yes, but only because Lee gave him what looked like a jab fake.

The footwork is so good that it looks like it's something he practiced. If he hasn't practiced and that was a happy accident, then it's still an incredible feat of athletic improvisation. Either way, all credit due and the Bulls broadcast can suck it ;)

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Thanks for the Zapruder film breakdown. I only saw that part of the replay on the broadcast.

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*Knows he has to come back to Looney.

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Bulls fans were convinced that we took too much time on an inbounds at one point near the end. I don't think it was that one though.

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It was on that play and I timed it. It was a smidge over 5 seconds. Closer to 6. I don't see a ref calling that, but it's the kind of technicality that losing fans will jump on.

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Dec 28, 2020Liked by Daniel Hardee

On further review, Wiggins was mauled on that play where Loon ended up with the layup. Way worse than the foul Curry got the and1 on (which was still a foul, but much closer to a no call). The left arm in particular comes down and isn't vertical at all (although his body is) and just hammers Wiggins, no call. Sigh...

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He may have the worst whistle in basketball. He's the anti-Harden

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Warriors currently third in the league at 41.7 threes attempted per game behind Utah and Toronto. It makes sense, when you are worse at shooting, you need to shoot more threes to keep up.

https://www.teamrankings.com/nba/stat/three-pointers-attempted-per-game

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What you have to hope is regression to the mean starts to kick in pretty soon. Oubre will need to go 8 for 8 to get back to his career numbers.

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Just need to be patient. I remember all the concern in the '18-19 season after Klay started out slowly from behind the arc. At the end of the year, he still made 40% of his 3s. Don't expect Oubre to hit 40% but 36% would work well.

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He will get to 36%. I dont have a doubt in my mind

What he needs to do is drive and kick...with his fearlessness and aggressiveness...he wont have a problem accomplishing this. Guaranteed that Kerr is in his ear telling him that once he gets this style of offense through his head, he will get himself better oppotunities and thus better looks...along w his teammates

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36% would be a career high. Let's count our lucky stars if he shoots 36% from here on out, which would put him at ~34% to end the year (assuming same # of 3PA as last year)

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If the shots start falling, we should be no worse than middle of the pack once Dray comes back. As sad as the loss of Chriss is, it shouldn't move the needle on our trajectory that much.

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So long as Looney stays healthy...we will be good

I really really hope we can grab PJ Tucker. Unlikely tho.

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Watching Wiseman clearing wide swaths of driving lane space for Wiggins, my tune has changed a bit as to when Wiseman plays. Originally I thought his minutes should be almost exclusively paired with Curry. Now I think Wiseman's minutes should be paired with Wiggins and let Looney close out each quarter. If Kerr reluctant to go high PNR with Curry then maybe he'll be less reluctant letting Wiggins run it with Wiseman and having a couple of shooters spaced out in the corners for the drive and kick.

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The third game of a four game road trip isn't the time to start asking for heavy minutes from your 19 year old rookie who played three college games over a year ago after an abbreviated training camp. I expect Wiseman will get more and more minutes as his conditioning improves and his comfort in the offense and defense rise after more practice time during the season.

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That's fine in theory AND you're responding to someone that has been lower on Wiseman than the rest of the fanbase BUT I'm simply asking Wiseman to do the things he seems to do well now AND that's creating space with his massive frame that's it. The one person that can take the most advantage of that IS Wiggins NOT Curry. Most everyone wants Wiseman to be this premiere 1-2 combo with Curry off the bat because he showed some signs of it against two other plodding centers in DJ and Lopez. We saw what happened once matched up with a smaller more athletic center (and I get DJ once used to be uber Athletic)... he struggled. Where he didnt is in paving driving lanes for Wiggins to drive and kick out. You can't teach taking up massive amount of space with a massive frame.

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Could be a good idea. Get Wiseman more looks as much as humanly possible.

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Oubre was just doing his best to make my prediction that he would make a 3 wrong. For the next game, I'm going to predict that he won't make one.

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author

For my prediction, I predict that my prediction is wrong.

*Sits back and watches a logical wormhole open*

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Ah, the old "I am lying" gag

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I don't think he's lying...gotta think on this............................................................................

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Dec 28, 2020Liked by Daniel Hardee

Two sequences that stood out to me: Wanamaker defense that quickly erased a 4-5 point deficit. Oubre’s defense that energized the team and got them in the position for the win. I love the active hands, willingness to get in passing lanes and pick up full court. I am not concerned about Oubre’s shooting. His vision at times was frustrating but just a few days ago he was talking about still getting to know his teammates-let alone knowing how to play with them. It will be great to get Dray back, but even more important is for this team to go through adversity together, to support each other and to emerge stronger. They have the personalities to do it, but it may be hard to watch at times. Hang in there Dubs fans, it will get better.

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Only thing about Oubre, the tunnel vision while driving thing is the loudest complaint I heard from Phoenix fans when we traded for him. So it's, unfortunately, not out of character, though maybe something can be done to fix it.

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OT

har to share this hilarious article.

https://clutchpoints.com/dangelo-russell-andrew-wiggins-trade-made-zero-sense-for-warriors/

I mean, really? Dlo has transformed the Wolves 3 games into the season? Lol! I love how the writer glances over the prospect of a probable top 10 pick from MIN next draft

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author

I watch the game before — gotta keep tabs on that draft pick — And down the stretch DLo had a couple of nice shots, but also got targeted on defense for an easy basket every time down and eventually ended down the stretch with two missed jumpers, a big turnover and an even bigger free-throw miss. So I’m not missing DLo and I wish that he delights his new team like a Monta.

As for the MIN pick... I will refrain from saying anything haughty until GSW passes MIN in the standings...

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I just dont see them getting out of the bottom 10 teams in the league is all im sayin...and bottom 5 if they lose any significant players for an extended time.

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DLo last night: 21 minutes, 4 points on 2-7 fg, 0 rebounds, 3 assists, 7 turnovers ... and a minus 31, by far the worst on the team.

The Wolves have been a laughable 26.4 points per 100 possessions better with DLo on the bench than on the floor this season. That’s an extreme version of what we’ve seen from him throughout his career. Even the playoff Nets were much better with him on the bench (and Dinwiddie in, sigh).

DLo and Wiggins are both maddeningly inconsistent players, but Wiggins has the one saving grace of being a live 6’-8” athlete who can effectively guard NBA players at multiple positions when he puts his mind to it. DLo is nothing but a constant nightmare on D.

Knock on wood with injury talk on this cursed team, but in the “best ability is availability” department, Wiggins has arguably been the most durable player in the NBA over his career, where DLo gets chipped up a fair amount.

And ... we’re getting a likely #5-12 pick in a stacked draft for the exchange.

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KAT didn't play last night. Big difference between the first two games and this one.

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+1000

Basically what i said in the articles comment section...except as usual... you write much better. I didnt know he was that bad with the nets when he was on the floor. Makes sense. Pretty sure Hardon is a better defender than Dlo. Prove me wrong! 😂

I think ur being generous with that 5-12 range pick...as am i with stating a top 10 pick...that team is doomed for years... so much so that im half way hoping that the pick rolls over into top 3 for us in the '22 draft

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Actually, sorry, I was mistaken on one DLo fine point: the 2018-19 Nets were about the same with him on the floor as on the bench (+0.7 net points per 100). But that was the one year in his career where he wasn’t a substantial negative. Over his career, his (mostly bad) teams have been +3.3 points per 100 better with him on the bench. And in his one playoff appearance in 2019 he was an impressive -43.0 points per 100.

By contrast, Wiggins, for all his flaws, has been a net +2.6 per 100 over his career for his (mostly bad) teams.

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Harden is a better than DLo on D and it's not even close. Once he actually started trying he was pretty good, although he still has lapses for sure. I wouldn't call him "good" but he's at least solid.

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Wow. “Pundits felt he (Dlo) played too similar to Curry”. Did this guy even watch them play? I wanted Dlo to do well last year- only so we could ship him out as soon as possible.

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Nope. Clearly he doesnt watch anyone play...cuz he also ignored how well Wiggins did last season after the trade...sure, hes no superstar, but no one expected that. And guess what? Dlo isnt either

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That man wrote that article one day too early lol. Granted it was the SEGABABA for DLO last night but he looked like Wiggins did that first game against Brooklyn.

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Lol, yea. More like an hour or two too early, because he mentioned that "Wiggins did well against the Bulls, but..." as Dlo bombed it against the AD'less Lakers

Feel free to add to my roasting in their comments section

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