Spoiler Protection Pet: Walter White
Hey Eric,
Huge fan of the newsletter and e1p. Here’s Walter White, a Samoyed whose favorite activity is sleeping but he’s also a big dubs fan. He’s still working on tightening up his handle but isn’t that what the offseason is for.
Go dubs!
Kevin O
Pet Picture Rotation
General offer to DNHQ: if you send me a tasteful picture of your loved animal, I will add it to the rotation of Game Wrap animal pictures.
Ideally, wearing DNHQ gear or Warriors gear, but having gear somewhere in the picture is great, or even without is okay.
No AI please.
Email to apricotan@gmail.com
Game 11 wrap: Dubs win by 51 over short-handed Pelicans
Short-handed, tired Pelicans play like it, GSW has no letdown
Official Box Score
The official Always Close Enough To Hurt™ audit
Here is a home-grown graph of the game win probability tonight. The gray line is the actual score difference. The chart looks about right to me, but if you use this for anything important or anything bad like gambling, then you get what you get.
Even the emperors of Always Close Enough To Hurt™ deserve a night off every now and then. This one was over by the end of the first quarter, and just got over-er and over-er with every minute.
APRIBOX Scores
It’s okay if you don’t know what all these stats are. My high-strung computer calculates some rough advanced statistics for the game.1
Teal = better, blood orange = worse.
Warrior Wonder
If I didn’t include your favorite player, sorry! There are only 5 slots available. Write a tribute comment at DubNationHQ.com instead.
On Site Comments and Politics
Reminder that I do not want DNHQ to become a political discussion. Politics is much more important than basketball. These events should be discussed widely and people should call their Senators and Congresspeople, and organize locally, but there are much better places than here. This is a little corner of the internet to get away from that.
On to the next one…
AVG-Z = mean of the 4 z-scores (PIE, GmSc, VORP, DRE) · PIE = NBA Player Impact Estimate, share of team production · GmSc = Hollinger Game Score · VORP = value over replacement · DRE = daily regression estimate · +/- = on-court point differential · MIN = minutes · PTS = points · FGM/A, 3PM/A, FTM/A = FG/3PT/FT made–att · OR/DR = off./def. rebounds · AST/STL/BLK/TOV = assists/steals/blocks/turnovers · FD = fouls drawn on offense · OFD = offensive fouls drawn (charges) · PF = personal fouls · TS% = scoring efficiency incl. FTs · eFG% = FG% weighted for 3s · 3PAr = share of shots that are 3s · FTr = FTA/FGA rate · OR/DR/TR% = rebound shares · AST/STL/BLK/TOV/USG% = rate stats · ORTG/DRTG = pts per 100 poss · BPM = box plus-minus · xFG% = expected FG% on shots taken · xPTS = expected FG points · +xP = FG points over expected · FG%+ = FG% minus expected, in points · DxP = opponent FG pts over expected on shots defended (negative = good) · GRV = defensive attention drawn, on- and off-ball (tracking stats: NBA only; GRV for spotlight leaders)









APRIBOT thinks GSW is #5 in the league right now. #1 - #6 all in the west, sigh. She is probably overestimating GSW, but FYI I cap the game results at +/- 20, so this blowout of +51 points has the same weight as one of +20.
She also thinks that the win prob on this road trip is
0.32 HOU
0.39 SAS
0.79 NOP
0.62 DAL
0.50 MEM
That means 2.7 wins expected in the next 5. Tough trip!
I liked the part where they won the game by the 3rd quarter.