Update: GSW trades #41 for #52 (Alex Toohey) and #56 (Will Richard)… (Was: Warriors pick today in NBA Draft; starts 5:00pm Pacific; mini scouting reports for the best players left)

We calculate the exact moment you will be mad about GSW's draft selection

Here are the Draft Tournaments and Live Draft Day threads since 2020.

Update (3:49p):

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Well... I checked with APRIBOT and she gave me permission to tell you that picking #52 and #59 is ok with her.

The Tourney has 21 players, all undrafted. There are another 5 that APRIBOT likes that I gave scouting reports for in the article, who are pretty intriguing. So there will be at least 5 really interesting prospects that we've discussed at #52. It's also very likely some of them will fall to #59.

If you're not able to trade up for Fleming or Theiro, then you've got a wide plain of dicey prospects. Why not take two shots at getting lucky?

It is also possible GSW will do something boring like 2 draft-and-stash picks, or just trade out entirely.

The updated schedule should be

5:00 - 5:10. Starting blather

5:10 - 5:50. Picks #31 to #40. Relax.

• For next year’s calibration, pick #40 happened at 6:07pm.

5:50 - 6:30. Picks #41 to #50. Eyeball the draft board to see who’s left for GSW to pick.

• Pick #50 happened at 6:51pm.

Around 6:40. The Warriors make #52 pick.

This was using the 4 min / pick calculation. Last year, the Post pick was around 2 hr 7 min after Draft TV start, which would be 7:07pm.

28 minutes later. The Warriors make #59 pick.

• #59 happened at 7:30pm.

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Table of Contents

• How to watch the Second Round, literally

• How to watch the Second Round, emotionally

  • 5:00 - 5:10. Starting blather

  • 5:10 - 5:50. Picks #31 to #40. Eyeball the draft board to see who’s left for GSW to pick.

  • Around 5:55. The Warriors #41 draft pick.

  • 5.56. Be angry.

  • Unless shocking news hits, this will be the thread for all our draft discussions. If something dramatic happens, I may move us over to a new thread.

• Who’s Left?

• The APRIBOT v1 Best Remaining

• The Tourney Scouting Reports

• The Others

How to watch the Second Round, literally

• Round 2: June 27, 5:00 Pacific | ESPN (ESPN’s Seaport District Studios in New York)

It’s honestly a bit old-fashioned to (only) watch this on TV. If you want to be 5-10 minutes ahead of the televised draft, shamsbot.bsky.social, or follow this comment section. I actually ended up following Michael Scotto for the quickest updates. Not sure if he’ll continue on Day 2.

So, if you don’t want spoilers, turn off Bluesky and social media and avoid this comment section. Everyone is encouraged to post news here as soon as you have it from a reputable source.

How to watch the Second Round, emotionally

As for when the actual picks start, history has the picks beginning about 10-15 minutes from the TV start time.

Each team has 5 minutes to choose for the 30 first round picks, and 4 minutes for the 30 second round picks. The time of the official pick announcement sometimes seems to be longer than that.

In theory, the NBA made the Second Round a second day not just for ratings, but because teams requested more time to reflect on the first round and try to pull off deals.

In the same vein, second round picks will now have 4 minutes on the clock each (up from 2 minutes).

Here is my guess for the TV schedule.

5:00 - 5:10. Starting blather

5:10 - 5:50. Picks #31 to #40. Eyeball the draft board to see who’s left for GSW to pick.

There are 10 picks from #31 to #40. This means 40 minutes.

Around 5:55. The Warriors #41 draft pick.

5.56. Be angry.

• Furiously google about the new guy, or pray for a trade.

• Be angry that your favorite sleeper pick fell to another team.

• Post in the comments or on social media “Joe Lacob refuses to compete for a title”, “DUBS INCOMPETENT LOL” or other Eeyore stuff.

• Insist that the only way to draft is for a immediate contributor.

  • OR insist the only way to draft is for upside and expected value.

Unless shocking news hits, this will be the thread for all our draft discussions. If something dramatic happens, I may move us over to a new thread.

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Who’s Left?

Here are a few overviews. First, a collection of mainly analytics-y draft models:

• Givony and Woo mock draft Round 2

The APRIBOT v1 Best Remaining

• APRIBOT stands for “APRIBOT is Prospect Ranking Inference of Best Overall Talent”.

• It’s an amusing experimental algorithm which simply blends analytics and draft analysts.

• APRIBOT v1 doesn’t know about non-college players so it almost never ranks them. This includes players like Cedric Coward who are NCAA players who were injured most of the year so they don’t have reliable college stats.

  • For instance, don’t make a lot about Fleming being a “Top 14” talent. There were 7 first round draftees with no US college data (because of playing overseas or missing time for injuries). APRIBOT didn’t rank any of them.

• I very much don’t agree with all the rankings, but I agree more than I thought I would and the intensely hot takes make a certain kind of sense. E.g. Ace Bailey at 42? CMB, Clifford and Richardson at 2, 3, 4??

Anyway, I’m putting the rankings down in public so I can debug this thing. But if APRIBOT has any anti-consensus picks that hit the big time, believe me you’ll never hear the end of it, haha.

(And yes, APRIBOT thinks the winner of the Tourney should be Chaz Lanier.)

• 14 Rasheer Fleming

• 16 Adou Thiero

• 17 Ryan Kalkbrenner

• 19 Maxime Raynaud

• 21 Chaz Lanier

• 22 Kam Jones

• 23 Tyrese Proctor

• 27 John Tonje

• 28 Johni Broome

• 29 Koby Brea

• 30 Sion James

• 32 Hunter Sallis

• 33 Alijah Martin

• 35 Kobe Sanders

• 36 Vladislav Goldin

• 37 Javon Small

• 38 Micah Peavy

• 39 Ryan Nembhard

• 40 Jamir Watkins

• 41 Eric Dixon

• 43 Brice Williams

• 45 RJ Luis Jr.

• 46 Viktor Lakhin

• 47 Mark Sears

• 48 Jahmai Mashack

• 49 Amari Williams

• 50 Chucky Hepburn

• 51 Chase Hunter

• 52 Max Shulga

• 53 Brooks Barnhizer

• 54 Tamar Bates

Everyone listed was discussed in Apricot’s Draft Tourney (go there to the links to The Finals and The Group Stages to catch up) except those in bold.

Below are some instant micro-scouting reports for the top five players NOT in the Tourney. These five did not have public pre-draft workouts with GSW so they didn’t make it into the Tourney.

The Tourney Scouting Reports

• Group A: Johni Broome, Caleb Grill, LJ Cryer

• Group B: Kam Jones, Amari Williams, Sion James, Steven Crowl

• Group C: RJ Luis Jr., Kobe Johnson, Ryan Nembhard, Brice Williams

• Group D: Tamar Bates, Arthur Kaluma, Kobe Sanders, Micah Peavy, Alijah Martin

• Group E: John Tonje, Koby Brea, Max Shulga, Chaz Lanier, Eric Dixon

• The Finals: LJ Cryer, Amari Williams, Brice Williams, Tamar Bates, John Tonje

The Others

Rasheer Fleming, Saint Joseph's, 6-9, #96 BPM

• BR 2025-06-24 #31, ESPN Givony 5-30 #26, TheAthletic 2025-06-10 #33, Yahoo O'Connor 5-30 #25

• The Ringer Mann 6-10:

  • It can be tough to watch Fleming without lamenting a future that was once promised but never delivered. He’s a rumbling athlete with a wingspan longer than humanity’s list of sins, whose arms dig low on steals and rise high on thunderous blocks. He’s a strong, two-footed leaper who happens to hit 39 percent of his 3s at an attempt rate that would have been deemed excessive not 10 years ago. Fleming is a defense-oriented stretch 4, a term hardly used anymore. Turns out the future is way weirder than we could have predicted. Fleming is almost quaint in that context: still extremely cool in theory, but maybe not the game changer he would’ve been considered in a different time.

  • At minimum, Fleming projects as a versatile 4 or 5 who can chip in steals and blocks, pop or roll hard in the two-man game, and be an active presence on the offensive glass. What potentially pushes him into lottery range is that 3-pointer and whether it can be trusted at the next level. Fleming’s attempts and percentages from deep spiked in his junior season after he shot just 31.3 percent from 3 across his first two seasons. If the accuracy is real, Fleming has a place on just about any roster in the league. If it isn’t, well, he wouldn’t be the first player to rocket up boards because of rosy optimism based on a small sample size.

  • Another potential worry is his complete and utter lack of self-creation when playing against a lower standard of competition in the Atlantic 10. Fleming had scarcely any reps in isolation or as a ball handler this past season. For a player with his build, coordination, and first step, it’s fair to wonder why there weren’t more flashes of that in what was otherwise a breakout year. Of course, there’s an easy retort there: You dress for the job you want. Fleming will be a finisher in the pros, so that’s exactly what he was in college. If the rest of his game translates seamlessly to the NBA—if he’s a legitimate floor spacer shooting league average from deep and offering serious weakside rim protection—the return on a team’s investment could be massive. Fleming presents a rare archetype that promises teams that what they see is what they’ll get. But it’s fair to wonder whether there’s something hidden in what Fleming’s game doesn’t show.,

• Yahoo O'Connor 6-13:

  • Here’s another shooter for the Magic. Fleming is a hustler who drains spot-up jumpers and brings energy on defense, swatting shots and snagging boards. He has some real warts as a ball-handler with a lack of experience against high-level competition, but this would matter less for an Orlando team that would place him in a defined role.

Adou Thiero, Arkansas, 6-6, #34 BPM

• BR 2025-06-24 #33, ESPN Givony 5-30 #32, TheAthletic 2025-06-10 #27, Yahoo O'Connor 5-30 #28

The Ringer Mann 6-10:

• Late-growth-spurt players are always fascinating to track, and Thiero’s transition from scrappy lead guard to a physically dominant forward-sized bully has been stunning to behold. Adou was 6 feet tall as a junior in high school and shot up to 6-foot-6 by the time John Calipari took a chance on him at Kentucky. Now, he’s a 6-foot-8 highlight machine on both ends of the floor with, by his account, nuanced skills that are still acclimating to the newfound power that he now wields.

• Thiero is a chaos agent with a sky-high steal percentage and an appetite for deflections. When he played against fellow superathlete V.J. Edgecombe earlier this season, it was impossible to tell who was the likely lottery talent just by looking at them side by side. Broad-shouldered, with long arms and a chiseled frame, Thiero would raise eyebrows at an NFL combine. He also has a deep love for contact and will fearlessly hurl himself into any situation—which is partly why he’s missed stretches at both Kentucky and Arkansas. That physicality is the driving force behind much of his impact, as he’s primarily a finisher at this point, although the door is open for more. Among perimeter players, Thiero was the most dominant offensive rebounder in the country. His vertical pop and foot speed are electric in transition. He attacks straight-line drives with a reckless abandon and doesn’t bat an eye if a bigger defender is in his way.

• Rounding out his game will be an uphill battle, albeit not an unrealistic one. Thiero is a sometimes shooter with a slower release that could be workable enough to get by. He has moments of connective brilliance and displays quick touch on his passing. His unselfish approach is nonnegotiable for him—it’s hardwired into how he plays. Thiero seems willing to embrace an identity that best suits his strengths, and for that reason, his game is worth betting on.

Yahoo O'Connor 6-13:

• Thiero is a slasher with a jacked frame and an explosive first step, but he has severe limitations on offense as a shooter. If he’s able to figure out the shot, then his length and versatility would make him a classic 3-and-D role player. The Celtics have had good success at improving shooters, so he’d be a fair bet at this choice considering his other strengths are tailor made for their system.

Ryan Kalkbrenner, Creighton, 7-1, #3 BPM

• BR 2025-06-24 #32, ESPN Givony 5-30 #33, TheAthletic 2025-06-10 #26, Yahoo O'Connor 5-30 #29

The Ringer Mann 6-10:

• Before anyone points to Zach Edey as a success story for gigantic players who primarily play drop defense and have a heavy dependence on post play on offense, be aware that Kalkbrenner, while similarly skilled and balanced, moves at a more glacial pace than even Edey. Luke Kornet might be a better comp: less quick twitch, more quicksand twitch. Kalkbrenner has legitimate size, he’s a hassle to navigate around as a screener, he’s deceptively nimble when getting to the rim on drives, and he has a simple and effective enough repertoire around the rim to garner attention. In all likelihood, he’ll be battling for a spot in the late rotation or on the roster altogether in this NBA job market, but he functioned well for Greg McDermott in a complex offensive scheme for five seasons at Creighton. While he might be a simple proposition, he’s a safe one., Yahoo O'Connor 6-13: The Suns could absolutely use a big man, since Nick Richards is merely a backup. Kalkbrenner is a throwback 7-footer who owns the paint, swatting shots with his giant wingspan and dunking everything in sight. It’s a bit strange he isn’t a better rebounder. But as a super senior, he’s also developed some sneaky passing and shooting skills that hint at higher upside.

Maxime Raynaud, Stanford, 7-1, #153 BPM

• BR 2025-06-24 #28, ESPN Givony 5-30 #24, TheAthletic 2025-06-10 #31, Yahoo O'Connor 5-30 #23

The Ringer Mann 6-10:

• Raynaud’s four-year arc of improvement at Stanford was fascinating to watch. Over his Palo Alto tenure, he expanded from a floor spacer and screener to a highly productive, high-usage player. He has many effective outlets in his game. His low center of gravity, ambidextrous post scoring, and great touch on overhanded shots in the middle of the paint make him a competitive force inside, but he’s also just as capable of stepping outside as a 3-point threat when he’s not directly involved in the play. It’s important to note that his shot has trebuchet vibes and absolutely will need to speed up—yet, this past season, he still shot at a 44 percent clip on spot-up 3s (84 attempts!) and 77 percent from the line. There’s reason for optimism that his touch is good enough to be molded into something useful.

Yahoo O'Connor 6-13:

• With Myles Turner entering free agent this offseason, the Pacers could be in need of a center. Even if he does return, Raynaud could serve as a backup center or give Indiana a versatile option for a two-big look. Raynaud has leveled up every year at Stanford, turning into a player who pops 3s, slashes to the rim with a smooth handle, and makes eye-popping passes. As a talented passer who also offers solid defense, there’s little reason to think the Frenchman won’t carve out an NBA role.

Tyrese Proctor, Duke, 6-6, #167 BPM

• BR 2025-06-24 #29, ESPN Givony 5-30 #43, TheAthletic 2025-06-10 #36, Yahoo O'Connor 5-30 #43

The Ringer Mann 6-10:

• Proctor’s status as a prospect has slowly slipped over his three years at Duke, from “keep an eye on this kid, there’s something there” to “eyes are on him, and that something seems flawed” to “eyes are tired of waiting for it, that something might not actually be there.” He’s shown flashes of connective passing and movement shooting that make you wonder whether he had a chance to be the kind of player who can flow seamlessly between on- and off-ball situations—maybe even on the same possession. But his role in the offense slipped over time, with Duke more or less taking the car keys from him. The role he played this past season alongside Cooper Flagg, Kon Knueppel, and Sion James is more than likely who he’ll be going forward: a supplementary piece who’s better served by making few decisions and playing mostly off the catch.,

Yahoo O'Connor 6-13:

• Proctor is a tall combo guard with great passing vision that was expected to go one-and-done, but has taken until his junior year to look ready for the NBA. At this point, he’s sharpened his jumper and become an even better defender. Danny Ainge has a history of fancying top high school prospects that end up falling in the draft, so Proctor would fit that same profile.