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stickdog's avatar
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There is a persistent myth about Podz among Podz hating Warriors fans that goes like this.

"Sure, Podz's offensive stats are OK, but Podz is a total cone on defense!"

Nothing could be further from reality.

The reality is that so far this season the Warriors defense is +4.9 points better with Podz on the court than with Podz off the court. Here's what the off/on numbers say about the other Warriors players.

Net offensive rating of opponent with player on than off the court:

-7.4 Santos

-5.9 Melton

-5.5 Moody

-4.9 Podz

-2.7 Butler

-2.5 Post

-1.7 Spencer

-1.1 Richard

+1.5 Draymond

+1.6 Horford, Kuminga

+3.7 TJD

+4.6 GPII

+7.7 Hield

+9.7 Curry

Now, please give me your pet theory about why the Warriors defend so much better with Podz on the floor than off ("only because he plays more with good defender X"), and I will produce the lineup data to disprove it. (Well, once the Cleaning the Glass website comes back online, that is.)

Curry/Podz lineups defend far better than Curry/Moody (6 points better) or Curry/Richard lineups (7 points better).

Curry/Moody/Podz lineups defend far better than Curry/Moody lineups without Podz.

In addition, all advanced plus/minus stats show Podz has been a plus defender so far this season.

Crafted NBA's Regularized Defenses Adjusted turnovers ranks Podz in the 98th percentile and ranks Podz' Defensive Crafted Plus/Minus as a 93rd percentile defender overall!

Actual Estimated Plus/Minus has Podz as a -0.9 on offense, but +1.0 on defense.

LEBRON rankings have Podz -0.2 on offense, but +1.4 on defense.

DARKO rankings have Podz 0.0 on offense, but +0.6 on defense.

Podz's defensive box plus/minus is +0.7, which is 97th out of the 299 players who have played 500+ minutes so far this season.

The reason that the Warriors defend better with Podz in the game than out is that Podz somehow manages to end the other teams' possessions by securing defensive rebounds and causing turnovers at an extraordinary rate for any NBA guard (especially for a guard with his relative lack of size, speed, quickness, bulk, and typically most importantly length).

The next few times you watch a Warriors game, count how many times Podz (often singlehandedly) ends the opposing team's possession.

Willy White Shoes's avatar

Poll seems to be missing a Warrior with a bit o' history: two rings, about 31k points in his career...

Maybe add an 'other' choice?

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