Revisiting Apricot's Warriors Season Predictions (and critique of 538's projections)

A look at my unpublished October season preview

A list of all Explain One Play articles and videos is at The new Explain One Play index.

Here is a little look back at my 2021.10.14 season preview (and critique of the 538 season projections). I never got around to publishing this because the season hit and I was making other videos.

This was taped before the 15th roster spot was set and naturally is looking a little wrong, but it is still quite relevant, and it's fun to remember the very low expectations for the Warriors coming into the year.

0:00. Introduction to 538 projection

3:23. Juan Toscano-Anderson, Gary Payton II, James Wiseman, Moses Moody & Jonathan Kuminga, Nemanja Bjelica and Damion Lee.

7:30. Klay Thompson, Jordan Poole, and Wiseman

11:21. Average Klay and JTA again

13:02. My actual expectation

13:35. Steph Curry

15:15. Damion Lee, Otto Porter Jr, Wiseman, Poole, Bjelica

17:50. Conclusion

This was taped before the 15th roster spot was set and naturally is looking a little wrong, but it is still quite relevant, and it's fun to remember the very low expectations for the Warriors coming into the year.

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