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Loon Gehrig's avatar

Big game against the Wolves tonight. Let's see if Kerr plays Post more, and if he can handle the Wolves bigs with help from a (mostly) FULL SQUAD(TM).

A win would tie us with Phoenix on wins, but a loss would tie us in losses with Memphis (if/when they can beat the Jazz at home tonight).

Warriors can move up to 6th in the West in WGBC points with a win (passing the Wolves and Suns). A loss would keep them in 8th, but Memphis would narrow the gap (although it would still be fairly large)

Outside of the important Dubs game tonight, not too much happening in the West, except for the Jazz-Grizzlies, which Memphis unfortunately will probably win.

In the East, Hawks at Pistons might be fun, and while Hornets-Bulls might not be so fun, it'll be interesting to see how the Bulls respond to another good opportunity to stop their skid.

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Loon Gehrig's avatar

[was supposed to be a reply in the previous thread, but I haven't really explained how it works since I first starting posting it]

WGBC stands for Weight Games Before Calculating: I copy & paste the day's scores from BBref into a spreadsheet and parse it with a very small (extremely sloppy and probably bug-ridden, although I did manually check the first few days so I'm sure it's doing the actually points calculations correctly) program I made which takes each score and:

- calculates the current win/loss for every team

- iterates through each game and assigns points:

- assigns a multiplier: 1 for a home win, -1.5 for a home loss, 1.5 for a road win, -1 for a road loss

- multiply the multplier by the opponents total wins (for a win) or total losses (for a loss)

- for example: a road win against OKC would be worth 24*1.5=36 pts, but a home loss against the Pels would be worth -1.5*22=-33 pts at this time (it grows over time as teams win/lose more games)

- The team's WGBC points are just the total of all the points from all their games.

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Loon Gehrig's avatar

Why? Becasue as is probably posted before I think a win over OKC in the first game of the season counts exactly the same as a win when they're resting their starters in game 82: it's a game against OKC. Did one team get lucky, yes, but that's a built-in part of their schedule. And having a win that no other team has would be very valuable in a close playoff race.

In the future, I'll be adding expected wins and a list of the good wins and bad losses for each team.

- Since it doesn involve any work (other than copying rows to another spreadsheet), I'll be making 3 versions: pre- and post-deadline and whole season.

- Since it's a modified strength of schedule, I would expect the results over a full season to fairly closely mirror the real standings at the end of the season. The pre- and post-deadline should be more interesting, and hopefully predict who should sell and who should buy (and the aftermath)

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Loon Gehrig's avatar

Congrats! Very well deserved, one of my favorite articles.

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Goofus's avatar

Only a Bronze? Fuckin’ voting machines!

I kid of course; congratulations GBC 🍻!

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Asher B.'s avatar

Congrats!

And ... wait a minute, all of a sudden Kuminga is a key championship piece? That's news even to Kuminga stans.

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Daniel Hardee's avatar

either as a player or trade bait!

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