DNHQ Draft Tourney. Brice Sensabaugh (5) vs Colby Jones (12)
young bucket-getter vs all around guy
Our Draft Tournament
Yes, we are still having our FOURTH annual DNHQ Draft Tournament, where Dub Nation gets to vote on whom the Warriors should draft via head to head showdowns.
The draft will happen on Jun 22 2023, 5pm.
If the Warriors end up trading the pick, I’ll end the draft tournament early.
Brice Sensabaugh | 6-6 wing | 19 years old | Ohio State
Pure bucket-getter who wasn’t projected to be a one-and-done but has shined as a freshman scorer.
SHADES OF Mini T.J. Warren
Methodical ball handler who doesn't create a ton of separation but manages to hit contested shots anyway. He loves stopping on a dime and pulling up from close midrange, though he can also extend out behind the line for tough side-step 3s.
Knockdown shooter off the catch with smooth mechanics. He has the upside to become a player that hits 3s off movement because of his ability to fluidly get into his shot when relocating.
Loves to back down defenders in the post, where he can use his strength to get into prime position for simple turnarounds, a valuable tool against switching defenses.
Aware mover off the ball, always looking for opportunities to cut into the paint or reposition himself for a handoff that hurls him toward the basket. He does a great job of filling lanes in transition.
He’s a reluctant passer but he shows flashes that suggest he could develop his playmaking if he wants to. Against Maine, he racked up seven assists by locating rollers and cutters. If you just watched that game, you’d think he was a facilitator and he should tap into those skills more moving forward this season.
Suffered two meniscus injuries in high school, and he’s not a great athlete. He doesn’t have much burst off the dribble and he’s not an above-the-rim finisher.
Tough shot-makers in college don’t always translate to the NBA. He moves slowly with the ball and doesn’t create much separation on his shots. At the next level, he might not be able to create any room at all.
Ohio State had him start the season off the bench because of his defensive shortcomings. He lacks quickness on the ball and a degree of toughness you’d hope for from a player with his size. He finds himself in foul trouble far too often. Getting leaner would help, but effort is an issue too.
Inconsistent off-ball defender who loses track of his man and doesn’t show much agility helping inside or recovering to his man.
Which NBA team in the lottery would be the ‘perfect fit’ for Brice Sensabaugh? 🤔 @bricepsensa
16.3 PTS 5.4 REB 1.2 AST
48.2 FG% 40.5 3PT% 83 FT% (33 games for @OhioStateHoops)
▫️One of the top shooters in the 2023 NBA Draft Class. Scoring mentality, tough shot maker, midrange killer, three-point floor spacer, off-the-dribble threat.
▫️Sensabaugh is known for his midrange game, but he also has real juice as a movement shooter and shot creator. He reads the game well, so although he’s not the flashiest, he is calculated in his movement patterns off-ball and when the ball is in his hands. He knows he’s going to score, it’s just a matter of how. 82nd percentile per dribble jumper possessions according to @SynergySST. 95th percentile off CnS overall (Guarded + Unguarded). 91st percentile in overall jumpshot possessions.
▫️Brice’s archetype is so valuable in the NBA as the league is so offensively focused and is a ‘make-or-miss’ league. The ability to shoot, create your own shot, and to score from all three-levels is a skillset teams desire to add in the draft. Plus, you could watch Brice shoot all day. It looks that smooth coming out of his hands - from the initial catch, transfer, release, etc.
▫️Super sturdy and built frame at 6’6. Really hard to knock Brice off his spots and in the post. So strong and can take a lot of contact. Guarding Sensabaugh in isolation is not the ideal matchup for defenses, as he can take you off the dribble, bully his way to his basket, knockdown a three-pointer right over you, or stop on a dime and hit a midrange jumper. Sensabaugh ranks in the 89th percentile in post-ups and 70th percentile in isolation.
▫️It’s not uncommon knowledge that Brice is a bucket, but in terms of what else he brings to the court it’s not the clearest of water. Sensabaugh struggles at the rim, is not a ‘playmaker’ by the true definition, and is no Cason Wallace on defense. BUT, there’s been flashes and he is capable of improving in all of these aspects, it’s just a matter of consistency and willingness on his part when you get down to it.
▫️Brice has the build, length, knowledge, and tools to be successful in these areas. When he’s in the NBA, his scoring ‘tunnel vision’ most likely won’t takeover as much and he’ll have more resources around him to make him want to impact the game in other ways besides scoring.
The Scout: Few freshmen in college basketball were as productive this past season as Sensabaugh, averaging 16 points while shooting 48 percent from the field, 40 percent from 3 and 83 percent from the line. Beyond that, he’s a terrific shot creator who is excellent at separating just enough and really sharp as a tough-shot maker. So what is the concern? First, Sensabaugh struggled a bit after teams started to key on him as the first option. Over his final 12 games, he shot just 44 percent from the field and 28 percent from 3. He also struggled defensively, and teams routinely attacked him. Still, Sensabaugh is a remarkable prospect as a scorer. Over the last 30 years in college hoops, only seven other freshmen averaged 16 points while shooting 48 percent from the field and 40 percent from 3. The only one who wasn’t a first-round pick was Jason Kapono, and he went No. 31.
15. Brice Sensabaugh (Dean on Draft)
Sensabaugh has been a scoring machine for Ohio State, averaging 17.3 points and 5.6 rebounds in 23.9 minutes on 51.9% 2P, 46.6% 3P, 80.8% FT.
Based on that he is more interesting than most of the other guys in the draft. But it comes attached with a few flags. First he is a black hole offensively, averaging 1.0 assists and 1.8 turnovers per game at 6’6. Second, he does not put much pressure on the rim and is highly dependent on midrange scoring. And his steal and block rates are low and he has a high foul rate that has limited his minutes to 24 per game. There is serious concern he is a sieve on D.
Personally I have not gotten around to watching him yet. So no strong opinion at this time. But at a glance his shooting and scoring make him semi-interesting, but that interest is limited by an overall profile that suggests he is a one dimensional chucker.
Colby Jones | 6-6 wing | 21 years old | Xavier
SHADES OF Malcolm Brogdon
Got That Dog in Him
Soft touch on layups, floaters, and post hooks. Though his shooting numbers have been slow to develop, these are positive indicators of improvement. He’s ready to contribute attacking closeouts, rumbling toward the rim off handoffs, or running some pick-and-rolls.
Intelligent player within a team concept. He keeps the ball moving, relocates to get himself open, and makes attentive cuts to the basket.
Patient ball handler who doesn’t get overly sped up; does a good job of using his large frame to create space and absorb contact, compensating for his lack of elite athleticism. He’s also a sound playmaker capable of slinging the ball around the court with either hand.
Relentless defender who doesn’t let his offense dictate his effort. He flourishes dodging screens to stick to opponents, chasing down every rebounding opportunity, and thriving as a roamer off the ball. He doesn’t back down no matter how often he gets hit in the face—which seemingly happens every game.
Lacks a reliable pull-up jumper.
Unproven spot-up shooter who made under 70 percent of his free throws in his three-year college career, and only 30.3 percent of his 3s over his first two seasons.
The Scout: Jones does a lot of things well. He averaged 15 points, six rebounds and four assists. He shot over 50 percent from the field and 38 percent from 3, including 42 percent on catch-and-shoot 3s. He can operate in ball screens, and he can lead the break as a distributor. On top of that, Jones is also a sharp defensive player who rotates well, can guard one through three on the ball and actually makes impact plays as a shot blocker and transition starter in passing lanes. Jones isn’t the best athlete on the planet, and that will play a role in where he’s picked. But Jones’ game profiles really well toward playing a solid NBA role.
Bonus stats hype for Jones:
Vote in this poll and/or by posting a comment (worth ten votes) with a single hashtag #FIVE or #TWELVE
Dub Nation HQ is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.