103 Comments

Did a quick look at MavsMoneyball — lots of excitement, not expecting to win championship (expected: suns) but not writing it off either (know that some chance is involved and that they are on upward trend). Prefer #3 seed, ostensibly to avoid the Suns until the last round.

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I feel like we are locked in, klay made me very happy last game getting back to his original playstyle, wiggins been good, I dont see us losing again this regular season while we are building momentum for the playoffs, let's go

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A Mavericks fan posted this on r/warriors. It shows the probability numbers for the possible outcomes in the #3-6 seeds using FiveThirtyEight's predicitions:

https://i.redd.it/dtmrs581qfs81.png

Long story short, there's a 73% chance that the Warriors will fall to the #4 seed and 92% chance that the Jazz stays at the #5 seed.

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Apr 9, 2022·edited Apr 9, 2022

Those are 538’s guesstimates, of course.

The chance of the Jazz (or anyone) losing to Portland is probably on the order of 8%, so I buy that one.

I’d give Warriors on the order of 60% v each of NO and SA, which gives 64% of losing at least one. But I could see closer to 73% when you factor in the B2B, and the fact that the Ws may rest guys rather then worrying about the #3 v #4 seed.

There’s also a chance the Spurs beat Dallas in the last game. If they beat us tomorrow, they’ll likely be playing for HCA in the play-in when they face Dallas.

Too many variables to ponder, so I’ll go with “just win, baby.”

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And if the Pelicans beat Memphis today prior to our game, San Antonio won't have anything to play for and Pop may call an audible and rest guys.

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Just win baby

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meh...Roaracle isn't going to come walking in that door. Winning on the road wins chips

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Yup. I miss seeing the dubs clinch game 6s in those Road blues

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Suns beat the Jazz 111-105. Jazz took a big lead in the 3rd quarter by going on a 35-21 run, but the Suns closed the gap and won the game with a 36-13 4th quarter run.

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Ouch. Jazz = anti clutch

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Suns up 109-104 against the Jazz with 18.4 seconds left to go in the 4th quarter. Suns outscored the Jazz 34-12 in the 4th quarter.

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The Jazz 4th quarter offense makes this years' Warriors look like prime time SBDS

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Suns are closing in on the Jazz

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Apr 9, 2022Liked by punk basketball

Booker just tried to pull House down on him to get a foul call. Jazz challenged and it ended up being a flagrant on Book. (Yay!) Guess he’s really mastered the sleazy antics of CP3.

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Booker gets a quicker whistle then Kendall walking past a construction site, cost us our last game with the Suns for sure

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Apr 9, 2022Liked by punk basketball

Assuming the starters are Steph-Klay-Wiggins-Dray-Looney, I can’t stop thinking about what a strength our bench could be. Through the season, they’ve been hit by injuries AND thrust into bigger roles because of injured starters, but as bench guys, Poole-Payton-Iggy-Porter-Bjelica give the team high BBIQ, playmaking, handles, shooting and defense and it’s easy to envision any or all of them stepping up big in the post-season. Add in Kuminga as sort of a wild card, and I love all the options the team has and am not really bothered that some big plodder like Robin Lopez isn’t on the team.

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I’d like to see Poole start over Wiggins

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If the Jazz win tonight, they'll keep the #5 seed. If they lose, they'll be tied with the Nuggets and will need to win their last game of the regular season to hold onto the #5 seed. Nuggets last game is against the Lakers, while the Jazz's last game is against the Blazers, so unless the Jazz plays really badly this Sunday, I think the Jazz will hold onto the #5 spot.

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Also, it looks like the Suns are playing their starters tonight.

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It seems like Monte’s philosophy is full steam ahead into the Playoffs

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But it would be nice if the Jazz lose today - that way the Sunday games somewhat matter to Denver/Utah - no free rest.

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So... any chance that the Trail Blazers decide to beat the Mavericks tonight?

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Still a chance...Blazers just need to outscore them by 48 in the last 8 minutes.

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Very unlikely. Last win for the Blazers was against the Pistons on 3/21.

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So you're saying they're due for another win!

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Yeah, Mavs starters at their very worst would probably still blow out these Blazers...

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Apr 9, 2022·edited Apr 9, 2022

Mavs bench may blow them out. I doubt anyone could name more than 2 of the blazers active roster and even those 2 you would only really know if you play fantasy lol

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Games to pay attention for tonight:

-Nets vs. Cavaliers

-Mavericks vs. Blazers

-Jazz vs. Suns

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And Hawks over Heat if we are interested in HCA over the Heat in the finals!

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Warriors Nuggets would be 3-6 matchup. Last time, we played them in the playoffs, it was a 3-6 matchup. Let's hope the same team wins.

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And not the same seed!

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And let’s get Andre the W this time.

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He *did* get the W last time...

... because it allowed him to see who he really wanted to play for.

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And then was Finals MVP two years later. :-)

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Watching highlights of the 4th quarter of game 6 of that series and Steph's failed behind the back pass cracked me up @3:30

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8YuX6VChLmA

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Apr 9, 2022·edited Apr 9, 2022

8:03 Andre hugging and whispering into Steph's ear...

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Andre had hair!

Long time since I watched that one, thanks for the link.

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“Make no mistake, due to their precarious cap situation the Warriors would have to clear a tremendous amount of contracts in order to sign one max player, let alone two. It's an enormous mountain to climb and will be extremely difficult to pull off.”

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Apr 8, 2022·edited Apr 8, 2022Liked by Eric Apricot, Daniel Hardee

Man, talk about the stupidity of "bandwagon" fans...SFGate is calling for Kerr's head because the Dubs don't have the top seed & aren't dominating the way they did a few years ago. https://www.sfgate.com/warriors/article/Warriors-Kerr-should-consider-divorce-17058820.php

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Apr 9, 2022Liked by Daniel Hardee

There should be a special punishment for writing an article like that designed more to get attention/responses than either analyze or have an honest opinion. I don't know what it should be, but it should be severe. Like being forced to read an article by me going through that article point by point and explaining how lame it was.

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Apr 8, 2022Liked by Daniel Hardee

That's OK.

Six weeks ago, it was "get rid of Poole, he sucks."

Two weeks ago, it was "it's time to move on from Klay, he sucks."

Now it's "Kerr sucks."

Yawn.

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I read it. Apparently the problem (according to the writer) is that Kerr just doesn't have the belly to deliver a great "Just go out there and win one for the Gipper" locker room speech. Otherwise the players would be more motivated and play better. I personally attribute the Warriors relatively poor (!!) 50 win performance this year to having 3 all time great players miss good chunks of the season but I guess that is too simplistic. It's the speeches that matter.

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author

Weird angle given how good this team has historically been in 3rd quarters

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Also, weird angle considering we're talking about grown adults who do this day in and day out for a living. I'd say that NBA success is 99.99% training, preparation, scheme, and execution and 0.01% pre and in game pep talks.

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This line sums up the ridiculousness of that article:

"...And the loss to Indiana at home was easily the most shameful thing I’ve seen since the storming of the Capitol."

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Idiocy sounds so much more pronounced when it goes this hyperbolic!

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To be fair, that's not the Chronicle.

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I edited the post to correct that.

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It used to be & I wasn't aware of the change.

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I thought there was still a connection as well.

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author

Yup. Owned by the same company.

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Damnit. I clicked on it. They win. Anyone who thinks Kerr is running a Bargain Bin Zen-master routine is spewing utter nonsense.

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Some have discounted Kerr's coaching results because he inherited so many great players. I really want to see what he does with the next generation as Steph, Klay and Draymond give ground to Poole, Kominga, and Wiseman. If Wiggins stays around, he will be the link between generations.

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And if Poole, Kuminga, and Wiseman turn out to be amazing, will Kerr get knocked for inheriting yet another group of excellent players? At some point you have to give him and the rest of the coaching staff credit for, y'know, coaching... putting the roster in position to take advantage of their strengths... providing guidance to work out their weaknesses... giving guys the trust and opportunity to succeed? I dunno, counterfactuals are hard.

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And yet, no one would ever think to discount Phil Jackson's coaching results. Or Red Auerbach's. Both had great players.

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I saw that. Who in their right mind would fire Kerr right now? Yeah, he drives us nuts some times, but who would you replace him with? I think he's more than proven his worth. Kerr ball is also awesome to watch.

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Kerr ball has changed the whole NBA, not just the Dubs.

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Hear what KD has to say about this on The Old Man and the Three pod/web cast

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N4MRqAWBX7Y&t=318s

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Apr 8, 2022Liked by Daniel Hardee

So, Klay's rounding into form... that's pretty nice.

So, Dray's rounding into form... that's pretty nice.

So, Dre's rounding into form... that's pretty nice.

So, Gary's rounding into form... that's pretty nice.

So, Nemanja's rounding into form... that's pretty nice.

So, Andrew's rounding into form... that's pretty nice.

So, Jordan's rounding into form... that's pretty nice.

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So James isn't quite rounding into form... oh well, next year.

So, Kevon has been in already form for literally every game... that's really nice.

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